Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.557343 1.820759 2.094975 2.400162 2.728816 3.070705 3.451881
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.117424 1.475939 1.872675 2.337442 2.860719 3.426129 4.077954
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.880893 1.279292 1.740649 2.300553 2.949372 3.666970 4.510658
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.734512 1.165668 1.685803 2.336258 3.107821 3.976872 5.013971
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.610787 1.059627 1.622968 2.347110 3.223961 4.227122 5.439271
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.491044 0.941717 1.532140 2.312834 3.277606 4.398020 5.767804
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.450431 0.925812 1.566701 2.429534 3.509329 4.774744 6.332627
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.417699 0.916246 1.606187 2.549956 3.743953 5.154027 6.900203
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.393975 0.916516 1.656530 2.682654 3.992732 5.549789 7.487262
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.379197 0.928231 1.721115 2.832969 4.263059 5.971490 8.105476
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.346812 0.907637 1.738096 2.919076 4.451960 6.294625 8.606927
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.298378 0.854113 1.704282 2.934760 4.549879 6.506135 8.974648
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.226933 0.753098 1.600344 2.859353 4.539103 6.595775 9.211449
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.167190 0.660686 1.501729 2.786305 4.528551 6.684620 9.447702
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.125318 0.592167 1.432074 2.746893 4.555782 6.814756 9.728337
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.102926 0.560916 1.418955 2.785863 4.685085 7.071610 10.163054
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.080107 0.521620 1.388980 2.797999 4.776975 7.280386 10.538283
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.055354 0.466665 1.327301 2.760105 4.799215 7.399530 10.802265
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.052134 0.475485 1.377347 2.888860 5.047599 7.806344 11.421646
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.049540 0.485694 1.429806 3.021429 5.301578 8.220862 12.051355
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.048383 0.500571 1.490816 3.167232 5.574110 8.659685 12.711972
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.049040 0.522025 1.564087 3.332045 5.873206 9.133118 13.416312
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.043356 0.518616 1.591150 3.426304 6.075618 9.483148 13.968192